The paradox of cheap oil coupled with expensive gasoline is cascading across the United States and spilling north of the border. That comes at a time when the price for a barrel of the North American crude oil benchmark known as West Texas Intermediate has gone from $96 a barrel at the end of August, to as low as $76 at one point this week on fears of a global recession. "A slew of unexpected refinery disruptions, including fires and routine maintenance, have seemingly all happened in a short span of time, causing wholesale gas prices to spike in areas of the West Coast, Great Lakes and Plains states - and some of those areas could see prices spike another 25-75 cents per gallon or more until issues are worked out," he said this week. "I don't know that I've ever seen a wider gamut of price behaviours coast to coast in my career," said Patrick De Haan, an analyst with. "So who pays the higher prices wins the product."Īnalysis Canada's oilpatch is flush with cash - so what are they going to do with it? "You have to compete for those limited barrels," Muralidharan said. Because supply is limited but demand is strong in the PADD-5 district that includes British Columbia, fuel from the four other regions is moving around to meet that need - and bringing up prices everywhere. Gasoline markets in North America are broadly divided into five zones, known as the Petroleum Administration for Defense Districts (PADD), according to the U.S. "When the refining goes off, that amount of supply of gasoline gets shut." "B.C and Vancouver import every last barrel of gasoline and diesel from region of the United States," said Vijay Muralidharan, an energy analyst with R Cube Economic Consulting Inc. The Phillips 66 refinery in Ferndale, Wash., was shut down for maintenance earlier this month, taking about 65,000 barrels a day worth of gasoline offline. What's your money worth? Calculate how much inflation is costing you.But demand for drivers has held steady, which has jacked up the price of what's available. right now is a shutdown of one of the region's main refineries, reducing the supply of gasoline. While a lot goes into the price that drivers pay at the pumps, the main culprit in B.C. That's the highest average price on record for any jurisdiction in North America. The pain is currently most acutely felt in British Columbia however, where the average price for a litre of gasoline is $2.39. On a day when the benchmark price for a barrel of oil lost about a dollar, gasoline prices skyrocketed in parts of the country on Thursday, with Thunder Bay seeing average prices jump by as much as 20 cents a litre, and Edmonton and Calgary moved by a similar amount on Friday - even as the price of oil lost another 50 cents. But imbalances between supply and demand have caused pump prices to move in the opposite direction, and the effect on Canadian drivers has been dramatic. Then, when prices get to be too high, demand starts slowing and prices begin falling.The price of a barrel of oil has fallen by about 20 per cent in the past month, a situation that would normally result in a comparable decline in the price consumers see when they fill up their cars with gasoline. When it comes to prices at the pump, the situation is often the most basic example of how fundamentals work: demand improves with low prices and these start climbing back up, especially if there is support from the larger economy that stimulates more consumer spending. “While the bargain basement gas prices we’ve been seeing in areas across the country have been terrific and most welcomed, the party at the pump will likely wrap up in the next month or two, and prices will begin to rally as OPEC production cuts and a strong U.S. This won’t last, however, if DeHaan is correct. “Americans are spending $260 million less on gasoline today than they did some 80 days ago,” the analyst said. Gasoline prices at the pump are at more than a year’s low, but this may change in the coming months, according to the head of petroleum analysis at GasBuddy, Patrick DeHaan, as quoted by MarketWatch.ĭeHaan said that right now, the average price per gallon of gasoline in the United States was at the lowest for the start of a year since 2016, when the metric was also falling sharply to end up at a low of US$1.66 per gallon.
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